James Madison
W-L: (28-21) PR = 92.7285Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 4- 3 208 A Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 13- 4 208 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 3-11 213 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0-11 214 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 5 215 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 0-11 215 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 2- 2 220 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4- 6 220 A St. Bonaventure A10 ( 0- 6, 87.0) 11- 0 221 H Towson CA ( 1- 2, 92.5) 10- 9 221 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 0- 6, 87.0) 7- 2 222 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 7- 5 227 H Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 11- 2 228 H Hofstra CA ( 3- 4, 91.9) 2- 3 228 H Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 14- 3 301 H Hofstra CA ( 3- 4, 91.9) 5- 3 301 H Hofstra CA ( 3- 4, 91.9) 5- 3 304 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 0- 8 306 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 6- 7 306 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0- 7 307 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 5- 3 307 H Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 7- 6 308 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 11- 0 310 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 8- 9 313 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 2- 4 314 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 3- 1 315 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 9- 3 320 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 8-16 321 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 3-12 322 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 17- 2 325 A George Mason A10 ( 1- 1, 93.1) 3- 5 328 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 2- 3 328 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 0- 5 329 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 6 402 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 15- 9 403 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 4- 5 403 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 0- 5 410 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 6- 2 411 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 10- 2 412 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 15- 9 417 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 2- 5 418 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 9- 3 419 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 9-10 421 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 9- 7 424 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 4- 3 424 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 9- 6 426 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 6- 2 430 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 3- 2 501 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 5- 3 502 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 5- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Saint Joseph's 4- 3 1 2 -1.44
208 A Elon 13- 4 9 5 ++ 4.02
208 A North Carolina 3-11 -8 -2 --- -6.20
213 H Tennessee 0-11 -11 -3 --- -7.56
214 A Texas Tech 0- 5 -5 -7 + 2.25
215 A Texas A&M 0-11 -11 -5 --- -6.20
215 A Pittsburgh 2- 2 0 1 -1.27
220 A East Carolina 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.71
220 A St. Bonaventure 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.97
221 H Towson 10- 9 1 1 0.03
221 H St. Bonaventure 7- 2 5 7 -1.51
222 A East Carolina 7- 5 2 1 1.29
227 H Buffalo 11- 2 9 6 + 3.29
228 H Hofstra 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.62
228 H Buffalo 14- 3 11 6 ++ 5.29
301 H Hofstra 5- 3 2 2 0.38
301 H Hofstra 5- 3 2 2 0.38
304 H Michigan 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.72
306 H Boston College 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.06
306 A Virginia Tech 0- 7 -7 -5 -1.96
307 A Penn State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.98
307 H Bryant 7- 6 1 7 -- -5.66
308 H Radford 11- 0 11 3 +++ 7.60
310 H Liberty 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.10
313 A Georgia Southern 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.34
314 A Georgia Southern 3- 1 2 1 0.66
315 A Georgia Southern 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.66
320 H Coastal Carolina 8-16 -8 2 --- -9.99
321 H Coastal Carolina 3-12 -9 2 --- -10.99
322 H Coastal Carolina 17- 2 15 2 +++ 12.01
325 A George Mason 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.88
328 A Middle Tennessee 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.74
328 A Georgia Tech 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.15
329 H South Alabama 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.09
402 A Southern Miss 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.68
403 A Southern Miss 4- 5 -1 0 -1.32
403 A Southern Miss 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.32
410 H Louisiana 6- 2 4 0 + 3.75
411 H Louisiana 10- 2 8 0 +++ 7.75
412 H Louisiana 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.75
417 A App State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.32
418 A App State 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 6.68
419 A App State 9-10 -1 -1 -0.32
421 A Virginia 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.50
424 H Georgia State 4- 3 1 2 -1.07
424 H Georgia State 9- 6 3 2 0.93
426 A Boston College 6- 2 4 2 + 2.42
430 H Kennesaw State 3- 2 1 5 -- -4.48
501 A Marshall 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.88
502 A Marshall 5- 0 5 -2 +++ 6.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A North Carolina 3-11 -8 -2 --- -6.20 213 H Tennessee 0-11 -11 -3 --- -7.56 215 A Texas A&M 0-11 -11 -5 --- -6.20 304 H Michigan 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.72 320 H Coastal Carolina 8-16 -8 2 --- -9.99 321 H Coastal Carolina 3-12 -9 2 --- -10.99 329 H South Alabama 1- 6 -5 1 --- -6.09 306 H Boston College 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.06 307 H Bryant 7- 6 1 7 -- -5.66 403 A Southern Miss 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.32 430 H Kennesaw State 3- 2 1 5 -- -4.48 220 A East Carolina 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.71 228 H Hofstra 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.62 310 H Liberty 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.10 313 A Georgia Southern 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.34 328 A Middle Tennessee 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.74 328 A Georgia Tech 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.15 417 A App State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Radford 11- 0 11 3 +++ 7.60 322 H Coastal Carolina 17- 2 15 2 +++ 12.01 411 H Louisiana 10- 2 8 0 +++ 7.75 418 A App State 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 6.68 502 A Marshall 5- 0 5 -2 +++ 6.88 208 A Elon 13- 4 9 5 ++ 4.02 220 A St. Bonaventure 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.97 228 H Buffalo 14- 3 11 6 ++ 5.29 307 A Penn State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.98 315 A Georgia Southern 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.66 402 A Southern Miss 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.68 412 H Louisiana 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.75 421 A Virginia 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.50 214 A Texas Tech 0- 5 -5 -7 + 2.25 227 H Buffalo 11- 2 9 6 + 3.29 410 H Louisiana 6- 2 4 0 + 3.75 426 A Boston College 6- 2 4 2 + 2.42 501 A Marshall 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.88 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 4- 3 -10.36 9.01 0.74 0.50 9.83
3 A Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 13- 4 -12.90 6.47 0.74 0.50 7.27
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 3-11 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.50 -1.35
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0-11 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.50 -0.94
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 5 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.50 -0.02
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 0-11 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.50 -0.60
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 2- 2 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.50 0.00
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 4- 6 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.50 -1.99
3 A St. Bonaventur ( 0- 6, 87.0) 11- 0 -12.94 6.43 0.74 0.50 7.23
3 H Towson ( 1- 2, 92.5) 10- 9 -7.39 11.97 -0.74 0.50 11.32
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 0- 6, 87.0) 7- 2 -12.94 6.43 -0.74 0.50 5.73
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 7- 5 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.50 11.59
3 H Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 11- 2 -12.14 7.23 -0.74 0.50 6.54
3 H Hofstra ( 3- 4, 91.9) 2- 3 -8.05 11.32 -0.74 0.50 -2.22
3 H Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 14- 3 -12.14 7.23 -0.74 0.50 6.54
3 H Hofstra ( 3- 4, 91.9) 5- 3 -8.05 11.32 -0.74 0.50 10.67
3 H Hofstra ( 3- 4, 91.9) 5- 3 -8.05 11.32 -0.74 0.50 10.67
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.50 -1.48
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 6- 7 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.50 -2.58
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0- 7 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.50 -0.54
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 5- 3 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.50 15.30
3 H Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 7- 6 -13.09 6.28 -0.74 0.50 5.58
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 11- 0 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.50 8.87
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 8- 9 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 -2.09
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 2- 4 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.50 -2.15
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 3- 1 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.50 10.94
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 9- 3 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.50 10.94
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 8-16 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.50 -2.31
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 3-12 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.50 -2.31
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 17- 2 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.50 10.29
3 A George Mason ( 1- 1, 93.1) 3- 5 -6.79 12.58 0.74 0.50 -1.52
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 2- 3 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.50 -2.25
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 0- 5 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.50 -1.09
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 1- 6 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.50 -2.08
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 15- 9 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.50 11.97
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 4- 5 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.50 -1.89
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 0- 5 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.50 -1.89
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 6- 2 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.50 12.04
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 10- 2 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.50 12.04
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 15- 9 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.50 12.04
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 2- 5 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.50 -1.64
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 9- 3 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.50 12.98
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 9-10 -7.23 12.14 0.74 0.50 -1.64
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 9- 7 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.50 14.82
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 4- 3 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.50 10.21
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 9- 6 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.50 10.21
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 6- 2 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.50 10.71
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 3- 2 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.50 6.77
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 5- 3 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.50 14.19
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 5- 0 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.50 14.19
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256.97
|
winning pts = 291.5226 losing points = -34.5540
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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